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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | northdrawer | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 58% (10722–7705, n=18427) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 50% (19442–19516, n=38958) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $63K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #120 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 81% (180 of 221 open) | 50% (18 of 36 open) | 64% (30 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 46% of 134) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 61% of 222) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.