Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FaroeseNationalistFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (617–644, n=1261)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$12K$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)68% (97 of 143 open)59% (17 of 29 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=109NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won49% of 1192 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 24% of 144)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 45% of 498)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 57% of 488)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 74% of 62)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFaroeseNationalistFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $8.5KNikita Mashtakov $23K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $6.9KCameron Norrie $14K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $2.1KTomas Machac $17K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $3No $19—