Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGC-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$4.9K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #611PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (155 of 243 open)71% (51 of 72 open)67% (2 of 3 open)60% (102 of 171 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGC-PprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6KTomas Machac $127—Arthur Fils $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KUnder $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317Yes $690—No $2.6K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $1.8K—Yes $47
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304Cavaliers $8—Thunder $273
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12KUnder $672—Under $1.1K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $6.7KNo $1.5K—No $3.5K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $77676ers $170—76ers $240
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $122Timberwolves $253—Timberwolves $126
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Over $84
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $823——Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $264—Yes $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $686No $292——
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $677
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $644No $235——
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $813——Under $2
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220——Hawks $426
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $480——Under $6
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444—Ball State $18—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $310——Under $33
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215——Grizzlies $118
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $180—Over $90
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $193——
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $60Yes $73——
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $31——Wizards $89
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $23Yes $21——
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
Carlos Maria Zarate $21——Lucio Ratti $18
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $6.1K——Marcos Giron $17K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K——Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $2.6K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $536
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3KNo $29——
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.1KCeltics $1.8K——
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $553
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $172Over $3.0K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0KNo $1.8K——
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0KNo $596——
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $48——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.5K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
Hiroki Sakagawa $1.3K——Hiroki Sakagawa $864
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K