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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #485
Sides with the consensus72% (181 of 250 open)59% (19 of 32 open)61% (40 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KOver $1.5KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Otto Virtanen
Laslo Djere $325Otto Virtanen $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466No $529—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $880—Over $71
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $435—Over $155
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $437Tom Gentzsch $29—
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
Robert Guna $83Robin Bertrand $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14Under $181—
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $147Rinky Hijikata $4—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8—Under $34
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7Over $28—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $11KAnastasia Zakharova $13K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $4.3KSumit Nagal $2.3K—
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $20Noma Noha Akugue $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9Over $1.5K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $8
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174Under $42—
Will Xorazm Fk Urganch win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $199No $3—