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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)50% (20931–20602, n=41533)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M$3.2M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7PM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus71% (191 of 270 open)56% (18 of 32 open)70% (32 of 46 open)75% (41 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KOver $1.5KUnder $22KOver $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572Over $3.3KUnder $1.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $127Yes $176No $270—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7Over $28Under $12—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $15KNo $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174Under $42Under $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.6K——Over $129
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466No $529——
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $862——Over $71
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $130—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $548—Yes $2—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14Under $181——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132—Yes $3—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8——Under $35
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Pia Lovric $21Oriana Gniewkowska $5——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $28KSorana Cirstea $21K——
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $23KAnastasia Zakharova $17K——
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2KYes $5.5K——
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $747——
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2KOver $1.9K——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3KNo $517——
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Toby Samuel $67Toby Samuel $1.6K——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $343—Under $768—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Over $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $364—Under $601—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $261Over $664——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $138—Yes $65—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $60—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12—Yes $2—