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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #485
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)75% (172 of 230 open)53% (19 of 36 open)65% (41 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3KOver $10
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
—Zhibek Kulambayeva $3.9KMai Hontama $33K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $2Ben Shelton $2.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $1.1KTiphanie Lemaitre $225—
W35 Liberec: Alena Kovackova vs Lenka Munzarova
opposite sides · consensus Alena Kovackova
—Alena Kovackova $152Lenka Munzarova $932—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880—Over $71
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $273Mary Stoiana $573—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $128——No $26
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $8Tom Gentzsch $74—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $1.0K—Alexandra Eala $41K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $4.7KColeman Wong $10K—
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.0KMatteo Martineau $2.0K—
M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $22Gilles Arnaud Bailly $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $8
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176—
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Veronika Podrez $40Veronika Podrez $263—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37——Yes $66