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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1Unit70
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)33% (18–37, n=55)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus66% (106 of 161 open)no open consensus position59% (29 of 49 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%52% of 23 at avg 32¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)48% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)35% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1Unit70
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.5K—Over $118—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
AIK $3.3K—BK Hacken $465—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.4K—Elias Ymer $163—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15—PSV $67—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $57K—No $5.0K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $37K—Carlos Alcaraz $18K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $5.9K—Toby Samuel $31K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24K—Yes $9.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.8K—Under $7.4K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $11K—No $4.5K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $147—Under $5.7K—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K—No $79—
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $25—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29—