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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anciano | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (729–510, n=1239) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | -$6.6M | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #763 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (63 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=97 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1146 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 6% of 321) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 52% of 165) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 62% of 152) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 508) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.