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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anciano | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (729–510, n=1239) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | -$77K | -$352K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #763 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (63 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=97 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1146 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 6% of 321) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 52% of 165) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 62% of 152) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 508) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.