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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cm2897 | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1403–1339, n=2742) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $4.6M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #331 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 55% (108 of 195 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | College Football ±0 pts, n=922 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 7% of 450) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 41% of 508) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 61% of 528) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 90% of 454) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cm2897 | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State vs. UMass opposite sides · consensus UMass | UMass $7.2K | — | Ball State $35K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $199 | — | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $977 | Yes $3.3K |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $318 | — | Central Michigan $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $447 | — | Toledo $2.8K | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.8K | — | Over $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Ball State $233 | — | UMass $2.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Toledo (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $551 | — | Toledo $1.6K | — |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.0K | Yes $872 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $58 | No $1.4K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Ball State $18 | — | UMass $1.1K | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Ball State $105 | — | UMass $1.0K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $457 | Under $146 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $390 | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Exact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $18 | Yes $310 |
| Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Santa Clara | — | — | CD Santa Clara $244 | Rio Ave FC $81 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $240 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $30 | No $157 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $133 | No $20 |
| Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $28 | Yes $43 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $36 | — | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Virtus Entella vs. L.R. Vicenza end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | Yes $5 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.8K | No $10K |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.6K | No $310 |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 |
| Spread: UMass (-3.5) same side · consensus UMass | UMass $1.3K | — | UMass $2.9K | — |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $26 | No $2.3K |
| Modena FC 2018 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3 | Under $2.3K |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $101 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25 | — | Over $2.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $931 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.7K | Under $82 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-23.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | — | Ohio $1.6K | Ohio $87 |