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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gagarin59primmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)61% (63 of 104 open)67% (40 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgagarin59primmRN1UpTheBlues
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.7KCowboys $34K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $905—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KOver $328—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $267Lions $14—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
—Saints $12KSaints $81K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $46KLions $2.0K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $3.2KLions $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801