← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2310–1925, n=4235) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (43 of 82 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (82 of 145 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $19K | — | — | Bills $28K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $5.3K | — | — | Bills $18K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $3.0K | — | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $205 | — | — | Cardinals $11K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $56 | — | — | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.4K | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | — | Under $4.8K |
| Spread: Lions (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $3 | — | — | Lions $4.6K |
| Spread: Raiders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $568 | — | — | Jets $3.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $425 | — | — | Under $2.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.2K | — | — | Cardinals $1.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $287 | — | — | Cardinals $2.2K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $78 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Bengals (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $38 | — | — | Titans $1.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $6 | — | — | Cardinals $629 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $117 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Jaguars $54 | — | — | Colts $283 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $53 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $20 | — | — | Under $90 |
| Spread: Bills (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $4 | — | — | Ravens $93 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $34K | — | — | Raiders $4.3K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $28K | — | — | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $7.8K | — | — | Titans $826 |
| Spread: Jets (-3.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $4.2K | — | — | Raiders $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $57 | — | — | Over $5.4K |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $3.1K | — | — | Titans $1.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $125 | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $2.6K | — | — | Titans $1.1K |
| Spread: Bengals (-5.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $1.7K | — | — | Titans $1.6K |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $4 | — | — | Titans $2.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.3K | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $910 | — | — | Titans $696 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $73 | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $555 | — | — | Titans $766 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.0K | — | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Vikings (-6.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1 | — | — | Vikings $610 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $43 | — | — | Over $434 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $8 | — | — | Titans $14 |