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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)82% (339–73, n=412)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M-$566K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #414PM monthly #10PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)72% (99 of 138 open)56% (45 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +15 pts n=81, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 3% of 29)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 69% of 42)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)14% (won 79% of 103)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)76% (won 98% of 552)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43K—Jaguars $305Jaguars $21K
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500—Magic $770Suns $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266—Heat $1.2KWarriors $510
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $157K—Suns $5.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $26K——Jaguars $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $1.8K——Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Magic $990Suns $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $698
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $416Under $245
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Magic $145Suns $27
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
——Mio Mushika $2Kanon Sawashiro $48
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $2.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
——South Alabama Jaguars $7.8KSouth Alabama Jaguars $264
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
——Yuta Shimizu $3.5KYuta Shimizu $342
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
——Katie Swan $670Katie Swan $903
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
——Oilers $404Oilers $686
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Magic $473Magic $376
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $475Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $468Heat $110
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $35Southern Miss $365
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $312Magic $40
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $135Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
——Han Shi $11Han Shi $185
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
——Ducks $10Ducks $69
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
——Oilers $21Oilers $13