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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677NM-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)45% (10–12, n=22)82% (5440–1156, n=6596)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$5.3M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #500
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)78% (102 of 130 open)no open consensus position71% (49 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677NM-P
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $337Warriors $4.9K—Heat $348
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $3.6KWarriors $4.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $24
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $55
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $923—Under $27
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621—No $144
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $402—Notre Dame $358
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553—No $40
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163—Seahawks $398
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300—Panthers $152
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $403KWarriors $5.2K——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $749
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $886
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Under $232
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.1K—Yes $4
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $1.9K—Warriors $201
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $185
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $489
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $20
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $142
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $565—No $551
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $7
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $634—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $332
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359—No $454
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155—No $413
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $185—No $326
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $504—No $3
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $222—Yes $18