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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)50% (20931–20602, n=41533)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$14.8M$3.2M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7PM monthly #482
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)59% (17 of 29 open)70% (32 of 46 open)71% (39 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $22KOver $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $1.3KOver $10
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $130—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $176No $270—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116——No $26
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $8
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.3K——Over $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $791—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $36——Yes $66