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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 34% (1593–3074, n=4667) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $22K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #122 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 75% (1583 of 2104 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.