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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (517–632, n=1149) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (167 of 259 open) | 57% (64 of 113 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (31 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=313 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1818 at avg 63¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 1% of 637) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 51% of 37) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 74% of 54) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1090) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.