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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)55% (15011–12445, n=27456)45% (547–663, n=1210)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$346K$11.0M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #141PM monthly #1PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus63% (234 of 373 open)59% (67 of 113 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=123—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 11% of 7196)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 60% of 1788)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1712)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3193)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $77KNo $1.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.4KNo $1.4M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $187KYes $777K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $265KYes $544K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $287KNo $61K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $67Yes $82K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3KYes $77K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $420Yes $61K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.0KYes $53K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28KNo $831
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3KYes $26K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $745Yes $24K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $38Yes $13K—
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5No $2.5K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $794—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $183KYes $324K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $42KNo $94K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1KNo $71K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28KYes $12K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $14Yes $34K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $444Yes $12K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $209No $12K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5KNo $7.0K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $157No $4.0K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $47Yes $28—