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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (4207–1587, n=5794) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $459K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (115 of 161 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 74% of 285) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 1965) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 1803) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 1217) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $25K | Bills $378K | — | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $30K | Raiders $171K | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $621 | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $3.6K | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.7K | Raiders $104K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.8K | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.0K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $218 | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $123 | Browns $297K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $8.8K | Cardinals $59K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $173 | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2.9K | Magic $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $755 | Cardinals $35K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $4.7K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.8K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $92 | Chiefs $5.9K | — | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $784 | — | Yes $4.2K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $648 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $344 | — | — | Over $8 |