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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)49% (948–988, n=1936)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$16K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #632PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)72% (176 of 245 open)65% (37 of 57 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2KNo $46—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $1.8KArthur Rinderknech $114—
Spread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Odisha FC
—Odisha FC $1.1KMohun Bagan Super Giant $30—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $599Over $86—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $530AFC Bournemouth $11—
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $368Over $8—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $362No $2—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $201Over $5—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $162Under $26—
W15 Monastir: Francesca Gandolfi vs Mailuodi Lei
opposite sides · consensus Francesca Gandolfi
—Francesca Gandolfi $14Mailuodi Lei $3—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $3.4KColeman Wong $1.4K—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Lucrezia Stefanini $8Lucrezia Stefanini $3.8K—
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $24—
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Maxim Mrva
—Maxim Mrva $2.9KMaxim Mrva $533—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $279—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $286No $815—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $765Under $6—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $550No $66—
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $601No $8—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $442No $78—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $292No $12—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270Over $18—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $255No $5—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $206Melios Efstathiou $2—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $194Over $8—
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $84No $114—
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $163No $28—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $44No $136—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $149Remy Bertola $6—
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $119Yes $20—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $52No $44—
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $53No $18—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $49Over $10—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $32—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18Under $23—
Will Churchill Brothers SC vs. North East United FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21Yes $15—
Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Odisha FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $16—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $5Renata Zarazua $25—