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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)85% (1302–235, n=1537)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #28 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus81% (22 of 27 open)76% (188 of 248 open)63% (89 of 141 open)91% (53 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1874 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)13% (won 9% of 252)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)5% (won 51% of 90)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)76% (won 97% of 1423)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31KNo $14K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24KYes $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $6.7KBayer 04 Leverkusen $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.6KOver $514—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $4.5K—
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.0KYes $574—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0KNo $1.3K—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $414—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $340—Yes $1.7K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $63—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $32—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $643Over $631—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600No $300—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $716Yes $156—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $432Warriors $143—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $429Over $5—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $83Yes $186—
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $72—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29Yes $27—
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $46—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $49KNo $26K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $47KNo $20K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $41KYes $18K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $18K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12KOver $8.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KUnder $11K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KUnder $6.9K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KUnder $8.6K—
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2KYes $3.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.1KUnder $2.5K—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.4KBianca Andreescu $5.8K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $3.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $736Under $5.4K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $191—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
—Federico Coria $92Federico Coria $5.4K—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $1.5K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $110—
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $669—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KUnder $133—