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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpmetski29RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (372–452, n=824)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M-$173K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #876PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (125 of 187 open)no open consensus position61% (33 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NHL −4 pts, n=28—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%67% of 569 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)20% (won 58% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)78% (won 69% of 441)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)3% (won 88% of 16)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpmetski29RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.9K—Over $564
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Ben Shelton $2.2K—Carlos Alcaraz $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.5K—Under $152
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $907
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $283K—No $32K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $81K—Yes $12K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $47K—Sunderland AFC $4.7K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15K—No $12K
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18K—No $8.1K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $12K—No $8.0K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $6.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.1K—Yes $5.6K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $10K—No $450
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.4K—Over $712
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
—No $747—No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29