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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 35% (507–954, n=1461) | 50% (14548–14689, n=29237) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $41K | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (39 of 55 open) | 45% (13 of 29 open) | 61% (109 of 180 open) | 63% (58 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.