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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 69% (532–242, n=774) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $1.1M | $4.2M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #121 + pinned | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 81% (144 of 178 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 55% (104 of 190 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.