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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1S-WorksTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)50% (183–182, n=365)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M-$109K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus67% (120 of 178 open)64% (23 of 36 open)67% (2 of 3 open)54% (239 of 444 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)11% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)12% (won 91% of 23)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)64% (won 99% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1S-WorksTheWindKnowsmyName
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K——
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18KYes $166
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613Over $3.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $6——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36——
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $1.9KSofya Lansere $132——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475Under $1.3K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851Yes $326——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491No $524——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11——
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $51KNo $4.0K——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $21KNo $8.9K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $1.3KLorenzo Sonego $14K——
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8KNo $2.7K——
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.4KUnder $25——
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.5KUnder $507——
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.8KUnder $322——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95Under $1.1K——
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $728No $50——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721Under $20——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203Under $41——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51Over $29——