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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | fourcoin15m | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 36% (5934–10646, n=16580) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $10K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (132 of 198 open) | 93% (13 of 14 open) | 59% (32 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Weather −1 pts, n=116 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 47% of 531 at avg 47¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 44% (won 5% of 232) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 9% (won 37% of 46) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 9% (won 67% of 46) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 39% (won 90% of 207) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | fourcoin15m | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Alexandra Eala $6.8K | — | Claire Liu $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko | Alexander Shevchenko $1.8K | — | Jacob Fearnley $8.9K |
| Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.4K | — | Over $616 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo | Borna Gojo $4.0K | — | Nikoloz Basilashvili $623 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | AIK $2.4K | — | BK Hacken $454 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | — | Under $152 |
| Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | — | Over $84 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $851 | — | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Ben Shelton $627 | — | Carlos Alcaraz $326 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $80K | — | Yes $12K |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere same side · consensus Anna Blinkova | Anna Blinkova $8.1K | — | Anna Blinkova $51K |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sunderland AFC | Sunderland AFC $41K | — | Sunderland AFC $4.8K |
| Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $12K |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $13K | — | No $6.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $9.8K | — | No $6.8K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $7.5K | — | No $7.4K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | Yes $7.1K | — | Yes $5.6K |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $8.2K | — | No $391 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | — | Over $520 |
| Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? same side · consensus No | No $470 | — | No $1.6K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $705 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $21 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |