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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1UpTheBluesWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)32% (878–1902, n=2780)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.1M-$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #7PM monthly #691
Sides with the consensus64% (178 of 276 open)73% (33 of 45 open)68% (80 of 117 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1UpTheBluesWinning2...
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $5.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420—Under $762—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $990—Yes $4—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $720—Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
FC Andorra $517—CD Tenerife $45—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $288—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $23—Yes $273—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
CD Tenerife $99—FC Andorra $191—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $111—Yes $3—
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
CD Tarancón $11—Levante UD $86—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42—Yes $36—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51—Under $12—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $42—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $24—Under $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $21K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $2.6K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $713—Under $2.7K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.2K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $26—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $155—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $8—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $931—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311—Under $416—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $175—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $21—No $61—