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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RememberAmalekbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (728–458, n=1186)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–650, n=1187)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)
Consensus PnL$684K$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #881 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (59 of 93 open)100% (2 of 2 open)81% (58 of 72 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won73% of 1140 at avg 61¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 21% of 276)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 150)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 83% of 167)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 98% of 547)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRememberAmalekbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $60K—No $622K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $85K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.3K—Yes $270K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—Yes $170K—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $161KCommanders $433
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $112K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $53—Yes $45K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $32KCommanders $125
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23—Yes $22K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31—Yes $18K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $29—Yes $16K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16—Yes $9.3K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16—Yes $9.3K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $15—Yes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11—Yes $6.3K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $5.7K—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.6KYes $68——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16—Yes $408—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31—Yes $208—