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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ryxon21RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)71% (148–60, n=208)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$133K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #461 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus78% (42 of 54 open)53% (64 of 120 open)72% (73 of 102 open)67% (14 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 46% of 24)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 78% of 32)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 95% of 21)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up74% (won 97% of 220)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRyxon21RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $51—Yes $272K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7K—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25K—Yes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K—No $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.1K—Yes $37K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.7K—Yes $28K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1.1K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $4.0K—Ravens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K—Yes $73K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K—Yes $38K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $59—No $24K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $93—Bills $662