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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (145 of 239 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (64 of 119 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 55 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.2K | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $73 | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $137 | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $444 | Chiefs $60K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $109 | Cardinals $35K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $18K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $11K | — | Bills $4.0K | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.7K | — | Over $7.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $2.5K | — | Ravens $7.0K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $13 | — | Steelers $9.1K | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0K | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | — | Over $382 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.9K | — | Over $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $4.6K | — | Titans $2.2K | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3K | — | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | Yes $934 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.3K | — | Over $39 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.8K | — | Over $142 | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 2 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.0K | — | Yes $140 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.9K | — | Over $125 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $547 | — | Bills $2.5K | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | Yes $648 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Leonardo Storck Franca $2.8K | — | Jose Pereira $129 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | Yes $10 | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $361 | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33 | — | No $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $8 | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Toulouse FC | Olympique de Marseille $43 | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 2 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | Yes $123 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $526 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $358 | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Bengals $174 | — | Titans $1.2K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $65 | — | No $1.3K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $52 | — | Over $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 1 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $1.2K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | Under $213 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $960 | — | Over $207 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $305 | — | Over $768 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Over $50 | — |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $225 | — | Titans $766 | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Bengals $47 | — | Titans $826 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $807 | — | No $26 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $152 | — | Cardinals $629 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $58 | — | Over $542 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $292 | — | Under $228 | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $318 | — | Yes $102 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $263 | — | Bills $93 | — |