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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UpTheBluesRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)49% (17998–18484, n=36482)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus61% (141 of 232 open)52% (62 of 119 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=942, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=66, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 99% of 2645)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 7907)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 8513)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 18795)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUpTheBluesRN1beachboy4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $18KOver $2.4K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $23Bills $18K—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $11KBills $4.0K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7KOver $7.0K—
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2.5KRavens $7.0K—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $13Steelers $9.1K—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0KAlejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.3KOver $382—
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $4.6KTitans $2.2K—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3KFelipe de Dios $1—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8KYes $934—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.9KOver $3.0K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.3KOver $39—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8KOver $142—
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $2.6K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 2 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $140—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9KOver $125—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $547Bills $2.5K—
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3KYes $648—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $2.8KJose Pereira $129—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7KYes $10—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $1.2KCowboys $1.4K—
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $341No $2.2K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $810No $1.3K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $33No $2.1K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 2 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7KYes $123—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $526—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $358—
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $174Titans $1.2K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $52Over $1.3K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $1.2K—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0KUnder $213—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $305Over $768—
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $225Titans $766—
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $47Titans $826—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $807No $26—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $152Cardinals $629—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $58Over $542—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $292Under $228—
Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $411Yes $18—
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $318Yes $102—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $201Over $207—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $263Bills $93—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $8Titans $271—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $155Yes $54—
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $156Yes $22—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $166Over $12—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $55Under $98—
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $35Titans $39—
Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12Under $42—