← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 35% (509–966, n=1475) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $11.0M | $45K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (160 of 189 open) | 46% (16 of 35 open) | 72% (92 of 128 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.