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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)46% (1167–1345, n=2512)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M-$9.9K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #607PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)62% (213 of 346 open)73% (84 of 115 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $9.5KNo $711—
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $3.3KRinky Hijikata $16K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KNo $365—
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5.3KNo $265—
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $5.3K—Tom Gentzsch $12—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.5KOver $2.1K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.4KNo $1.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $2.6KTomas Machac $127—
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.3KNo $16—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1KNo $1.2K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $651No $230—
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $696Under $155—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $465Over $44—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $477No $6—
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 1 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30No $436—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $98Yes $345—
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $241No $135—
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $159No $115—
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $258Yes $3—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $192—
Exact Score: AEK 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $134Yes $2—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $62Yes $61—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $21—
Exact Score: AEK 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22No $16—
Exact Score: PSV 2 - 0 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $13—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160K—Yes $2.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KDaniil Medvedev $5.5K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $31KNo $1.7K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21KYes $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.3K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.2KNo $1.5K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.7KOver $570—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $1.3K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.6KUnder $882—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.4KNo $980—
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $1.3K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.2KOver $221—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.1KYes $15—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $29—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.9KUnder $306—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K—
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $596—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $895—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $944No $1.4K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KUnder $243—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $380No $1.2K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $327No $1.1K—
Exact Score: FC Porto 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $327—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $562No $850—