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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)69% (118 of 171 open)no open consensus position56% (45 of 81 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36KJaguars $288—Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $572—Suns $822
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409—Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21—Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428—Warriors $110
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $175—Over $83
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $2—Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $1.2K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $78—Florida Atlantic $15K
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KUtah $486——
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $1.3K——
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $657
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2KMagic $272——
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Suns $933—Suns $6
Blues vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
—Blues $459—Blues $419
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $272—Yuta Shimizu $340
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $25—Southern Miss $498
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158—Under $15
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $41—Heat $100
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Penguins $10—Penguins $52
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $50—Oilers $10
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28—Over $6