Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UpTheBluesweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)52% (413–378, n=791)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$14.8M$3.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)65% (101 of 156 open)70% (30 of 43 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=589, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%56% of 731 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)41% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)51% (won 59% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)5% (won 89% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UpTheBluesweflyhigh
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23KNo $20K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KUnder $21K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $6——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $69—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49Yes $592——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $192No $249—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $21K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $28K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $20K——
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $42K——
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6KOver $288——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $1.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $796—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $430——
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $321No $135——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $43——