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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465btnaFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$55K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #559PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)70% (7 of 10 open)69% (137 of 200 open)53% (53 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)33% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)26% (won 100% of 11)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465btnaFlaznorpRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K—Jaguars $285Jaguars $7.6K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $21KNo $8.1K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $54—Under $4.2KOver $76
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348KUnder $649
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $1.6K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $357—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $2.6K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $762
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $319—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $409Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $678
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $59Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $79Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Heat $428Warriors $110
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $358Flyers $50
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Magic $189Suns $40
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $136Over $83
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $131Yes $33
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $114Yes $40
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
——Suns $2Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $1.2K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $78Florida Atlantic $14K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $9.6KOver $1.2K
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7K—Utah $486—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.6KUnder $1.1K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K—East Texas A&M Lions $1.3K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.3KOver $2.4K
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $1.8K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.7KNo $222
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $246No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $657
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $261
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2K—Magic $326—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
——Yuta Shimizu $23Yuta Shimizu $340
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
——Penguins $293Penguins $52
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192