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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 37% (673–1166, n=1839) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $48K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 54% (55 of 102 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NBA −1 pts, n=318 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 22% of 1548 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 71% (won 5% of 1092) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 12% (won 41% of 181) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 9% (won 63% of 132) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 9% (won 91% of 143) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.