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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (612–684, n=1296)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$70K$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (131 of 197 open)68% (23 of 34 open)72% (146 of 202 open)56% (15 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $88K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $95—Yes $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $831Yes $61
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70Yes $78K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $91—