Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)42% (419–590, n=1009)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$35K$7.7M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #751PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus70% (59 of 84 open)89% (34 of 38 open)76% (247 of 327 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=75—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won37% of 901 at avg 34¢, ROI −2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢54% (won 7% of 483)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 43% of 120)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 64% of 133)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 97% of 165)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4KNo $421K—No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $144Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.4KNo $41
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $517——Yes $405
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8——No $687
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $442——No $4
Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $423——Yes $20
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $219——Yes $217
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $352——No $4
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $82——Yes $247
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $119——No $26
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $142——No $2
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $55——Yes $74
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $24——Yes $35
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KYes $19K——
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $7.2K
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $26
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $4
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $149——Yes $581
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $366——Yes $299
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $416——No $6
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $229——Yes $167
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $132——No $141
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $238——Yes $22
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $226——Yes $4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105Yes $23——
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $60——Yes $56
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus No
No $25——No $61