Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)92% (3725–317, n=4042)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (20930–20602, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$89K$7.9M$3.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)62% (18 of 29 open)73% (185 of 253 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9Under $5.2K
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Hugo Grenier $33—Sumit Nagal $4.4K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Athletic Club $345
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $548Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $127No $270
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $14KUnder $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $15K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $17—Anastasia Zakharova $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva $34—Maxim Mrva $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $18—Sorana Cirstea $3.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $572Under $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $343Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $411Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $791
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $20—Matej Dodig $651—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $6No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $12
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $12Yes $2