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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15219–13089, n=28308) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $7.9M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (304 of 471 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=125 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 7732) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 59% of 1834) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1730) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3358) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38 | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $69 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $282 | Yes $75K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | No $64K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $44 | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.6K | Warriors $380 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | Yes $28 | — | — |