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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1joseph00677sainttroplayndb10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (23259–9611, n=32870) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $164K | $6.1M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #94 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (236 of 277 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (59 of 113 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −2 pts, n=541 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 2880 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 1006) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 112) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 65% of 156) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 96% of 1606) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.