Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
11122BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)32% (464–1001, n=1465)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$656K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus83% (143 of 173 open)72% (74 of 103 open)53% (64 of 120 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −12 pts, n=66———
Settled positions, side won31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 4% of 1099)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 39% of 94)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 102)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 377)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market11122BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $52KYes $272K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $252K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21KYes $169K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $310No $88K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $72K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0KNo $40K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $20KYes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.8KNo $590——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $28K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.8KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $300Yes $77K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.0KYes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.7KNo $35K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.7KYes $28K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.6KNo $21K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $867Yes $14K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $4.7K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $120Yes $2.3K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $440Yes $1.1K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2Yes $943——