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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)74% (162 of 220 open)55% (86 of 156 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.2KNo $2.4K—
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $4.0K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $5.5KOlympique de Marseille $3—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.0KYes $117—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KUnder $389—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $2.3KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KNo $14—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $1.7KArkansas Razorbacks $347—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $231Virginia Cavaliers $564—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $635Over $18—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $349Virginia Cavaliers $2—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $246No $10—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $159Under $93—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $6Virginia Cavaliers $49—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $76KNo $4.7K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17KNo $14K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $16KUnder $8.4K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $7.2K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1KOver $10K—
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.5KNo $8.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $12KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $5.9K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $11KNo $1.5K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $2.3K—
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $2.0K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.9KNo $5—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.2KUnder $1.4K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $2.9K—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $3.5K—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.8KYes $1.8K—
Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5KNo $1—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $934No $4.4K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $1.4K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KOver $780—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KOver $587—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $2.8KAndres Martin $22—