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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernameRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)73% (4207–1587, n=5794)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$459K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus71% (115 of 161 open)56% (80 of 142 open)72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 285)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1965)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1803)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1217)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernameRN1BreakTheBank
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $25KBills $28KBills $378K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $123Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $30KJets $11KRaiders $171K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $3.7KRaiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $8.8KCowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.6KCowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $621Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2.9KMagic $228Magic $51K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.8K—Yes $82K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.0K—Yes $51K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $17K—Yes $37K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $218—No $40K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $43Raiders $17K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24No $6.7K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $344Under $2.2K—
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.8KTitans $14—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $407No $516—
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $67Yes $108—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $6Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K—Yes $272K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—Yes $77K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—Yes $38K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $173—Yes $56K
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $14KLions $29K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $755—Cardinals $35K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $26K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K—Yes $4.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $39—Yes $14K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $92—Chiefs $6.0K
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $487No $4.1K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $253Over $2.5K—
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $65No $2.6K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $562Toulouse FC $1.8K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $648—Yes $1.1K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $440Yes $934—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $337No $18—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $41No $185—