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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FlamePyro | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.8K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 64% (105 of 164 open) | 63% (36 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FlamePyro | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $47K | Miami (FL) $965 | Notre Dame $63K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | UTEP $2.7K | Hawai'i $470 | Hawai'i $561 |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $35K | West Virginia $108 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Magic $3.5K | Warriors $770 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.5K | Over $39 |
| Red Wings vs. Avalanche opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | — | — | Red Wings $44 | Avalanche $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $851 | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Trail Blazers $16 | Spurs $97 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $23K | No $7.6K |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $1.7K | — | Michigan State $22K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State same side · consensus Utah State | — | — | Utah State $4 | Utah State $13K |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.7K | Under $234 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |