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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6450–5961, n=12411) | 41% (3324–4820, n=8144) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | -$465K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #280 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 73% (149 of 205 open) | 72% (709 of 986 open) | 52% (13 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | Yes $361 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $81K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $13K | — | No $373 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $754 | — | Yes $375 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $831 | — | Yes $61 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $14 | — | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $28 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $88K | — | No $59 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $70 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Quentin Halys $861 | — | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $102 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | No $176 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $116 | — | Yes $161 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | — | Under $42 |