Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJordanMooneyRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)26% (1429–4060, n=5489)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$25K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #479PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)65% (98 of 150 open)56% (151 of 270 open)61% (17 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NHL −1 pts, n=218—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%34% of 2118 at avg 34¢, ROI −2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)63% (won 1% of 1330)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)3% (won 44% of 73)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)4% (won 67% of 88)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)30% (won 96% of 627)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJordanMooneyRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—No $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K—Yes $3—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.0K—Yes $17—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $707—No $17
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80—Yes $3—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29