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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 55% (13298–10666, n=23964) | 48% (19574–21323, n=40897) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $99K | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 67% (112 of 168 open) | 70% (95 of 135 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $14 | Under $181 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | Yes $8.1K | — | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius same side · consensus Oskari Paldanius | — | — | Oskari Paldanius $2.8K | Oskari Paldanius $37K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | Yes $16 | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4 | No $21 |