Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmUniform123
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #53—
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)59% (50 of 85 open)48% (14 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmUniform123
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190KEagles $59KEagles $5.6K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19KOver $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $196Colts $94—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $21KColts $5.7K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53Eagles $131—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $195Eagles $3.4K—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $431KTexans $33K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $126KTexans $32K——
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $61KCommanders $285—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $45KPanthers $6.6K—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $13KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $14K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9.1KUnder $6.8K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $3.9K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $229Patriots $10K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KUnder $5.3K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1KUnder $4.6K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Rams $3.5KCommanders $133—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26Under $3.3K—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7KSaints $16—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $924—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $1.6K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $597Under $97—
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $332Colts $76—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $28K49ers $40K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $67KGiants $61——
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $108Eagles $957—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $22Eagles $195—